My Invitation to the Russia Soft Power
School
Dear Colleagues and those who are concerned with the
rise of Autocracy in Russia, you know only some fragmentation or Balkanization
of the Armed Forces might serve as a remedy vs. Putinism.
See
the statement on it in English - https://www.facebook.com/vladimir.lukov.16/videos/1084900604986386/.
Resend this video and my invitation to other experts
and potential supporters of peaceful businesses in Russia, of course, after
Putin.
Some topics for your discussions at the School of Soft Power
-
President Trump lists Putin’s
‘Hybrid’ Terrorism as the US Third Global Threat for 2018-2020. That is why
Putinism is the main obstacle on the road of the Joint Global Counter-Terrorist
Alliance;
-
Islamic Radicalism has been replaced
with Domestic Terror from Above and from below in Russia and the USA (80% of
terrorist attacks in the USA are ‘homegrown’);
-
New heads of Secret Services under
President Trump take care of Sunni extremists in the Middle East, as a
counter-balance to the worldwide Shiite terrorist organizations (more than 100)
and numerous sells on the ‘Shadow Internet’. Old ‘friendly’ heads of Secret
Services under Putin are extremely non-professional, but simply ‘loyal.’ These
different groups of Counter-Terrorism ‘masters’ cannot cooperate to prevent any
threat to national infrastructures, saying nothing about supporting Private
& Third Sectors as collaborators in the Global Counterterrorism trend;
-
The US has changed many
counterterrorist methods under president Trump at home and in the former Third
World, making equal partners there. As to still president Putin, he has pushed
Russia into the Third World and the NIS, making them primitive or simply paid
‘proxies’ against the NATO and the USA, in particular. Putin did not eradicate
the ISIS and similar terrorist groups that are dangerous to US national and
international interests.
Other Qs for discussions
What should we do? Within the reconstruction of the US
CT strategy, the US has transformed many systems to help maximize CT
operations. Russia might study them and follow best examples.
First of all, we should try to change a cultural code
(based on all-human values, not on egoistic ‘Russia - ahead’ or ‘America is the
best in the West’ for the Global CT).
Alas, the majority of public & secret security
professionals focus on previously popular components of CT operations, such as
direct anti-terrorist actions of pro-Israeli type operations with blood and
destruction for TV programs. The culture of Soft Power is a Terra Incognita for
Russian ‘siloviki,’ which is highly counterproductive!
The Private & Third Sectors are helpful in a new
CT paradigm in Russia. One must first understand why an
anticorruption/antimilitary NGO or NCO (not a pro-governmental one!) would want
a mathematical analysis system or numerical situation model in CT operations.
Mathematics in relation to security operations in
Russia and abroad is vital for two essential operations: research and
development (R&D) and data analysis for the sake of the Civil Society and
civil-military relations of the XXI-t century.
There is a technological
wall between the Kremlin's militarist set of mind and the Civil Society, which
has been tired and turned into mentally zombies with hybrid wars & TV
information wars under Putin.
Simply speaking,
structured (censored, falsified, etc.) data from the central government and its
regional branches deals only with committed explosions and killings by
terrorists, i.e. AFTER THE EXPLOSION. The concerned or harmed citizens practice
them as preventive or responsive counter-measures against 'Terror from Above'
(legalized by Putinism).
Non-structured data from NGOs-NCOs observes any hints,
gossips, and fake-news about coming terrorist acts and possible trends to
extrapolate real/unreal/fantastic threats to citizens and their private
property in mathematical modeling.
A desirable conclusion for every
dispute
For 100 years, Russia has been living under the burden
of 'state-planning from Above' at huge costs & failures for private
interests and instincts of her population.
The today-made answers to our Qs contradict to the
ruling circles’ decisions and primitive linen scenario like ‘tomorrow will be
better than today.’
Our discussion has shown: a) the Kremlin’s
inefficiency in logistical systems and decision-making processes; b) the public
distrust to 'Love from Above' in CT planning and reported 'achievements' of
'siloviki' ; c) arguments vs. beliefs in 'Terror from Above' as a
non-productive tool against 'Terror from Below' (from Chechen mountains,
streets of Moscow, etc.); d) an urgent need in working out regional/local tools
of Soft Power within the Global CT paradigm, based on Mathematic
Counter-Terrorism; e) Soft Power ‘warfare'
against domestic ‘Terror from Above’ and ‘Terrorism from the Street’ or ‘below’
risks helping the armed Enemy in the short run by lessening locals’
counter-terrorists to develop their own military/paramilitary tools. But in the
long run, rejecting violent state capabilities also helps with the Soft Power
recruitment and its PR.
The less Russia does
militarily and violently, the more friends and allies in the NIS and the NATO should
trust the Soft Power Schools all around the World.
P.S. You are invited to hear this invitation - https://www.facebook.com/vladimir.lukov.16/videos/1091187617691018/, if you like.
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