Self-Defense of the Russian Middle Classes
Русский пересказ с дополнениями здесь - https://www.facebook.com/vladimir.lukov.16/videos/1122237887919324/UzpfSTEwMDAwMzk5MzY5NDEzMDoxMTIyMjY0NDk0NTgzMzMw/. За 30 мин. набрал 100 просмотров!
My viewpoint is that the Power Structure centered on the Kremlin is shifting from autocratic Putin’s regime into radicalizing regions of Russia[1]. Small businesses are under tax-and-raiders’ attacks from this ‘Vertical Power’, which appears to be a fake!
My viewpoint is that the Power Structure centered on the Kremlin is shifting from autocratic Putin’s regime into radicalizing regions of Russia[1]. Small businesses are under tax-and-raiders’ attacks from this ‘Vertical Power’, which appears to be a fake!
The pro-Kremlin Mass Media is torturing facts about it
with falsified public opinion and the
recent presidential election’s vote.
But on the other side, the Russian Middle Class creates
a silent decentralizing Confederation.
Only within it small businesses might self-defense and survive under an
inevitable crash of Putinism. Waves of arrests of governors and other regional
heads are higher and higher as an argument for the shift to such a
decentralization of the Kremlin’s power.
So, on remnants of Putin’s Neo-Stalinism there will be
millions of Russian and Non-Russian proprietors. They should deal on good terms
with democratic states of the World.
Why is Putin barking on the Mars?
Putin’s barking on the Mars is a maneuver.[2]
His political & economic bankruptcy is evident. He sidetracks the public
opinion in Russia and World investors to keep his Tsardom untouched.
All plans and three main wishes of Putin (since 2012)
are unrealistic. Nevertheless, the Russian population and the West believe (!)
in them by 2024. Putin’s partners in the West admit that the Russian Middle
Classes and its foreign partners will be under the Kremlin’s yoke for other six
years and even later!
As if having
the miracle golden fish in his hands, Putin, according to Andrew Wood[3],
has been trying:
1) To make
NO significant structural economic reforms to avoid the political risks
attached to them;
2) To
control the Economy via ‘cartoon nuclear missiles blackmailing’ the World with
rising taxes for small businesses to suppress them ‘for ever’ in the people
interests, meaning a growing number of Russian young lumpens[4];
3) To pursue
‘great power’ ambitions of his completely ‘Failed State’ with numerous ‘ Grey Zones’
beyond the Kremlin’s control.
This evident
Neo-Stalinism has discouraged the wise part of the population in its desire to
build Free Market Economy. Putin leads to ‘Neo-Stagnation’ of the Brezhnev’s style
with huge petrodollar resources.
Mismanaging
ties between the regions and the Kremlin seems to go from bad to the worst.
Regions won’t be funded for self-development while western sanctions are furiously
biting ‘capitalism of Putin’s friends’.
More over the ‘Vertical Power’ of Putin’s vision is an evident fake. For 18 years there has been no coherency to make the Russian Federation real and even ecologically safe[5]! There is a stable Horizontal Power of ‘ponyatiya’ which means ‘to live by criminal or semi-criminal concepts’.
Real and
latent conflicts between elite have already destroyed 80% of determined
patterns of behavior and ‘laws’ in ‘independent’ courts of so-called ‘the
Russian Federation’.
The FSB, the
successor to the KGB, has become ‘an apple of the eye’ of Putinism. Without
Putin his appointees in a ‘post-Putinist era’, if any, are to work for benefits
of the super-riches.
The latter
must rely on private armies to survive
and protect themselves from petty businesses that are under the Putin’s yoke.
Since the
collapse of the USSR, the Armed Forces of Russia and other NIS have been under
constant pressure of further ‘Balkanization’. The Russian and Non-Russian
Militaries have been mixing up with the ‘Shadow Economy’ since the so-called
Defense Conversion of the 1990s. Oligarchs picked up the former Military for
their self-defense.
By the
2010s, these Militaries have come out of the ‘shadow’ into official political
and military affairs. For example, since
2014, the Russian Military has destabilized and tried to dismember Ukraine through
armed proxies, 'volunteer' forces, and unacknowledged aggression[6].
Without really
‘touching the West’s tits’, Putin keeps the NATO (as a lady) in nervous suspension
with his Grey Zones[7]. In response the NATO often
thinks it is ‘less than the war’. Though Teresa May has strongly disagreed with
such a Putin’s petting.
The fear of the West to get pregnant from Putin’s
Autocracy (through 4-5 millions of Russians as possible Putinists?) looks like a
betrayal of the Russian Third Class with its strive to new honest leaders in
businesses, equipped with artificial intellect and IT.
Putin’s
‘Vertical Power’ has inflicted heavy losses to the Private Sector and made highly ineffective State-run Sector of
Economy, Education, Social Security and Public Security.
That has
happened because of ‘Siloviki’ (Secret Services’ people) were appointed from above
with immunity for their crimes and violence.
By now, Putin’s
Secret Services on governing positions have failed to run the post-Soviet ‘Brave
Russian World’! Incompetence and corruption are inherent in the whole Putinist ‘Law
and Order’.
The very
‘Siloviki’ are willy-nilly subversive for the regime, not banned NGOs and
Private Sector people as ‘foreign agents’.
Now, opposition is expecting new putinist
repression and blackmail to continue up to 2024.
But there is
the light in the end of the tunnel – it is a widening boycott of the World
Football Cup in June-July, 2018.
More that 20
members of the EU and the USA & Canada could join the Great Britain’s response
to ‘the Salisbury poisoning’ and become the Last Straw to break the Putinist
‘Camel Back” in the World sport, at least.
If it does
not happen, there are many other crises for the Kremlin’s ‘Law & Order’. All
illusion of a post-Putin era seems to disappear after the notorious 76,7% vote
for Putin on 18 March.
It is not
Putin’s personal triumph. There exit numerous regional organized criminal groups
to convince and/or bribe the population in the Kremlin’s fake-success and
fake-plans.
Western
sanctions will certainly expose these crazy plans of Putinist ‘modernization’ as
completely untrue[8].
That is why ONLY
regional successors to Putin’s ‘three wishes’ are to protect or reject all of them. The rejection is far more realistic,
because of:
1)
The Kremlin’s ‘right’ to be a great power, dominant
over its neighbors has been ruined in Syria and Ukraine;
2)
No trust is expected from/for the Kremlin after the
Salisbury events (poisoning the UK citizens);
3)
Closer attention of the World to the Kremlin’s Human Rights
violations before/after the WFC-2018 with new sanctions;
4)
The exercise of justice for political prisoners in
Russia is a must for any talks between putinists and NATO countries;
5)
Corruption is the second name of Putinism and incompatible with longer-term success;
6)
Russia will be
vulnerable to global economic crises with focus on hybrid wars as ‘factories’
of higher prices of her natural resources for exports.
Approximately 70-80% of the Russian ‘White Economy’
remains in State or quasi-State hands, and is under poorly handled entrepreneurial
management.
The Shadow Economy might survive between now and 2024.
But the White Economy with its fake ‘social responsibility’ will not, according
to economists’ forecasts in/out of Russia.
Self-Defense
of small businesses against bandit capitalism of Putinists is a new challenge
for Russia after Putin. And his successors (with New Lunpens, as managers to
rule) will not use flows of petrodollars in Russia. They surely do not
want to feed the Middle Classes, as the Putinism's 'grave-digger'.
About the very Self-Defense of the Middle
Class, see my next publication. Until then, relax
and get fun looking at the fake might of the Putin’s ‘Russian Bear’.
This
‘might’ and estimation of private armies in Russia were not reported to
President Trump. No wonder, he is giving an ax to a lot of ‘Russian experts’ for
their ‘Russia-Gate’ that is simply a meager cover of ex-CIA heads’ snobbism and
pro-Putinism.
Putin the Terrible is an old good 'swamp' of budget and private money that President Trump is eager to drain for Middle Classes of America and, possibly, Russia! Why not?
Vladimir Lukov
[1] The Kremlin has been forced to turn to regional leaders to
produce a decent turnout and muster the required votes on March 18, 201, but
that comes at a cost of shifting the balance of power towards the regions - http://www.intellinews.com/russia-outlook-2018-134716/ .
[4] There are two dress-styles of Russian new lumpens as Putin’s supporters - https://coub.com/view/bvxpi and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZLVXgHxqVI (in fact, it’s a kitsch of super-rich families’ guys). But they are to become managers of Russia after Putin, if they are lucky!
[5] In Volokolamsk, the city head got over his head from
citizens for letting out an ecological disaster - https://www.facebook.com/kaynur.ivanuch/videos/209591233122653/ .
[8] There are
predictions that the crude oil price could be anywhere from $51/b to
$76/b by May 2018. Then by 2025, the average price of a barrel of Brent crude
oil will rise to $85.70/b. And by 2040, prices will be $106.08/b (again in
2017 dollars) - https://www.thebalance.com/oil-price-forecast-3306219.
Putinists will not use flows of petrodollars in Russia not to feed the Middle
Classes as the Kremlin's 'grave-digger'.
